Hong Kong retail sales rise in October, but outlook challenging – Inside Retail

Hong Kong retail sales rose in October helped by improved tourism from eased pandemic restrictions and the disbursement of a new batch of consumption vouchers, but the government warned of tightened financial

conditions while releasing Thursday’s data.

October retail sales rose 3.9 per cent from a year earlier in value terms to stand at HK$31.9 billion (US$4.10 billion). That compared with HK$28.1 billion in September, when retail sales climbed 0.3 per cent from a year earlier.

Strict Covid-19 restrictions have weighed on Hong Kong’s economy since early 2020, grinding tourism to a halt and

battering sales at bars, restaurants and shops.

The city scrapped a hotel quarantine requirement for all incoming visitors in September, after closely following China’s “zero-Covid” policy over the past two years.

“As long as the local epidemic situation remains under control and the various restrictive measures can be relaxed in

an orderly manner, consumption-related activities should gradually regain momentum,” a government spokesman said.

The government said improved labour market conditions and the Consumption Voucher Scheme will continue to support demand though tightened financial conditions will partly offset the effects.

The city is facing headwinds from high inflationary pressure and aggressive monetary tightening in advanced economies, while rising interest rates and a pessimistic economic outlook have put pressure on asset prices, dragging down home prices.

For the first 10 months, the total retail sales value decreased 0.7 per cent compared with the same period last year, the data showed.

In volume terms, retail sales in October rose 2.4 per cent from a year earlier. That compared with a revised 1.4 per cent drop in September. For the first 10 months of the year, the volume decreased 3.5 per cent from a year earlier.

While Hong Kong has relaxed social distancing measures put in place to curb Covid-19 infections, the border with mainland China has been largely closed since early 2020, choking off mainland tourism spending, a key driver of consumer growth.

However, tourist arrivals in October soared 760.9 per cent from a year earlier to 80,524. That compared with a 568.5 per cent jump in September.

Hong Kong’s economy contracted 4.5 per cent in the third quarter from a year earlier. It was the third consecutive quarter of year-on-year contraction, with the decline widening from 1.3 per cent in the second quarter.

Citing a deteriorating global growth outlook, the government delivered a more pessimistic full-year forecast, and now sees the economy contracting by 3.2 per cent, having earlier predicted growth of between 0.5 per cent and minus 0.5 per cent.

The city’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate eased to 3.8 per cent in the August-October quarter, improving for the sixth consecutive period.

In October, sales of jewellery, watches, clocks and valuable gifts, which before the pandemic relied heavily on tourists from the mainland, rose 13.6 per cent from a year earlier, following a 6.8 per cent expansion in September, the data showed.

Sales of clothing, footwear and accessories in October fell 5.4 per cent on year after a 7.1 per cent drop in September.